Union employees have lengthy been an integral voter demographic for Democrats. This has been significantly true in swing states.
However as of late, the realignment in our politics is shifting union assist – and blue collar employees typically – to the GOP. Even in 2020, Biden barely managed a majority of union voters.
That pattern seems to be accelerating as 2024 continues.
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CNN: Union Voters Trending Trump
President Joe Biden obtained the official endorsement of the United Autoworkers Union (UAW) in late January.
Nonetheless CNN – of all locations – lately reported that union employees are actually trending extra towards Donald Trump.
The Every day Caller reported of CNN senior analyst Harry Enten, “Enten mentioned whereas the idea has at all times been the union vote goes Democratic, information from key swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin present Trump in a lifeless warmth with Biden.”
“I believe this could be a little bit of a shock to some people,” Enten mentioned. “That is amongst union members in key swing states, Joe Biden at 47%. Donald Trump at 47%. This can be a clear motion from what we noticed in 2020. The recall vote on that was Biden plus eight. So this can be a motion in the direction of Donald Trump. Donald Trump gaining amongst union members as he has gained nationwide as properly.”
CNN’s Poppy Harlow requested, “What concerning the pattern line for union employees over time?”
The story continued:
“I used to be among the nationwide polls there and we’re additionally seeing that pattern line extra in the direction of Donald Trump this time round. So union members are an enormous a part of the democratic coalition, however fewer and fewer of them are voting democratic and why is that? What’s going on right here? Effectively, union member vote in 2020, amongst faculty graduates, Joe Biden … gained union members by 46 factors. However look with no faculty diploma. Donald Trump gained that vote by six factors. So oftentimes we consider unions we consider blue-collar employees however in truth there are loads of white-collar voters in unions and the very fact is these voters are going over from Biden, however you take a look at these blue-collar employees they’re much extra within the Trump camp,” Enten mentioned.
A full-blown GOP vote from a majority of union members could be a serious sea change.
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Unhealthy Information for Biden
Many nationwide polls already present Trump forward of Biden, and if the president can’t depend on a demographic as traditionally dependable for Democrats as union voters – that’s not excellent news for him.
It’s nice information for Donald Trump.
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