COMMENT #1: Hello Marty,
I all the time like while you level to cycles in fields aside from economics as properly.
It has been simply over 31.4 years because the Detroit Lions gained a playoff sport. Previous to that, it had been about 34 years (8.6×4) since they gained a playoff sport, the 1957 season championship (not together with the three straight Playoff Bowl video games that they gained which have been simply to find out third place for the ’60-’62 seasons).
After all, taking the moneyline at -165 isn’t tremendous engaging from a buying and selling/danger administration standpoint, however I feel I’ll nonetheless need to throw a couple of bucks at it. It’s simply time.
MR
COMMENT #2: Pricey Good Sir – I assumed perhaps you would possibly discover this attention-grabbing (and somewhat little bit of a extra lighthearted distraction). I actually observed solely final evening that:
October 8, 1956 – Don Larsen throws an ideal sport with Yogi Berra catching
July 18, 1999 – After a 14-year feud with George Steinbrenner as a result of he fired Yogi Berra unceremoniously as supervisor early within the 1985 season, Yogi Berra lastly returns from his self-imposed exile to Yankee Stadium, … and David Cone pitches an ideal sport on the exact same day.
Actually, 43 years aside! Completely, thoughts blowing ….
COMMENT #3: I do know you forecast the Triple Crown simply off the cuff, and your calls on the Tremendous Bowl are superb. Is something exhibiting up for this 12 months?
REPLY: I don’t assume folks notice that something that may be lowered to a time collection could be cyclically and technically analyzed. Sports activities is de facto no completely different than politics. In case you look intently, you possibly can see that attendance rises and falls with the enterprise cycle, which is totally comprehensible. These charts are merely trying on the variety of factors scored in every sport. You’ll be able to see that the NFL had scored over 53 factors as its file excessive in comparison with 38 for the AFL. Nonetheless, the AFL has a double prime, suggesting that they’re attributable to make new highs by way of factors scored.
Listed here are the arrays for the AFL & NFL. What I discovered very curious is that 2027 is a significant goal. Mote that within the NFL, there’s a Panic Cycle for subsequent 12 months. With a Panic Cycle in 2025 for the NFL and a Double Directional Change in 2026 for the AFL, even that is suggesting that battle is on the horizon.
Sports activities have correlated with the financial system and battle for hundreds of years. Take a look at the NY Baseball attendance. It peaked in 1920, simply on the finish of World Battle I. It then declined going into the Nice Melancholy and at last bottomed in 1935 however stagnated via World Battle II. Then, as World Battle II ended, we noticed a spike upward once more, peaking in 1947. Thereafter, the monetary disaster started with the devaluation of the British Pound in 1949 and the recession. Attendance declined for 25 years, bottoming in 1972. That was adopted by a 36-year rally, reaching a excessive in 2008. The correlation between the financial system and battle is relatively unimaginable.
In historical Rome, chariot racing was just like the Tremendous Bowl. Even slaves may change into extraordinarily wealthy. Flavius Scorpus (Scorpius) (68–95 AD) was one of the well-known charioteers in Rome throughout the finish of the first century AD. Scorpius rode for the Inexperienced faction towards the Blue faction. He was the favourite of Roman Emperor Domitian (81-96AD).
Throughout Scorpius’ brief lifetime, he amassed 2,048 victories. He turned the Michael Jordan of the day, changing into maybe probably the most well-known charioteer in Roman historical past. He earned really huge sums of wealth as a slave, surpassing that of even his house owners {and professional} Roman sponsors. Scorpius, nonetheless, died on the younger age of simply 27 years. The followers threw him cash upon a victory, and he ultimately purchased his freedom.
Right here is a particularly uncommon bronze token (tessera) depicting a chariot driver in a biga – two horses. They have been quicker, however the four-horse chariot was far more difficult to maintain your horses in line. That is what made Scorpius so well-known, rising to the extent of a famous person.
Right here is likely one of the rarest Roman cash depicting the Circus Maximus of Trajan (98-117AD). Scorpius was succeeded by Gaius Appuleius Diocles (104 – after 146 AD), who turned a subsequent famous person within the Circus Maximus. This Roman charioteer some have argued that he turned the highest-paid athlete of all time.
Chariot racing was maybe the traditional model of NASCAR. There have been gorgeous crashes and even pileups generally. Right here now we have the Circus Maximus once more depicted on a Roman bronze sestertius of Emperor Caracalla (198-217AD). The Flaminio Obelisk is likely one of the 13 historical obelisks in Rome. It was taken to Rome in 10 BC, about 20 years after the defeat of Mark Antony and Cleopatra. That is the Obelisk of pharaoh Seti I, and Augustus erected it within the Circus Maximus, which is depicted on these cash.
Some day, maybe 1,000 years from now, they’ll look again at our society and its fascination with the Superbowl and Socar. There is no such thing as a doubt that the Romans knew properly that in the event you gave the folks bread and circuses, the politicians may do as they preferred.
It has typically been remarked that when Rome fell, its residents have been nonetheless laughing and attending all the varied video games to maintain them distracted. After all, that’s an exaggeration. Nonetheless, ultimately, the one nice metropolis that had taken almost the whole world was itself taken by the onslaught of the barbarians, which, like Biden as we speak, the emperor Valens (364-378AD) opened the border and allow them to in. As you will notice with Biden, because the Neocons are getting ready to wage battle on so many fronts, they’ll push them into army service. So many got here to Rome that there was a meals scarcity and large hunger. The native Roman army commanders, Lupicinus and Maximus, withheld provides the emperor had earmarked for the barbarians and bought them at massively inflated costs. The historian Ammianus tells us that the state of affairs turned so determined that even the households of barbarian chieftains bought their sons into slavery for canine meat.
The Romans seemed down upon the migrants from the north as uncivilized and irrational. The Roman commanders felt justified of their discrimination and prejudice towards the barbarians from an extended line of historic prejudice. So, historical past will repeat as a result of human nature by no means modifications.
