Deserted by allies
Assad has closely relied on army, political and diplomatic help from key allies Russia and Iran.
With their assist, he had clawed again territory misplaced after the battle erupted in 2011 with the repression of anti-government protests, and Russia’s 2015 intervention with air energy modified the tide of the battle in Assad’s favour.
However final month’s insurgent offensive got here as Russia stays mired in its battle in Ukraine, and its air strikes this time failed to carry again the militant-led rebels who swept up swathes of territory together with main cities Aleppo, Hama, Homs and at last Damascus.
Assad’s different key ally Iran has lengthy supplied army advisers to Syria’s armed forces and supported pro-government armed teams on the bottom.
However Iran and its allied teams have suffered setbacks in preventing with Israel because the Gaza battle erupted and hostilities ensued between Israel and the Iran-backed Hezbollah in neighbouring Lebanon.
Nick Heras, an analyst on the New Traces Institute, instructed AFP earlier than rebels took Damascus that “in the end, the Assad authorities’s means to outlive will depend upon the extent to which Iran and Russia see Assad as helpful to their methods within the area”.
“If both or each of these allies determine they’ll advance their pursuits with out Assad, then his days in energy are numbered,” he added.
