CALGARY, Canada: Russian president Vladimir Putin has introduced he intends to run within the 2024 presidential election. Putin is sort of sure to win what can be his fifth time period as Russian president.

The information comes as little shock. Putin has led Russia for twenty-four years and polls recommend Russia’s ongoing army marketing campaign in Ukraine has bolstered assist for him.

In September, Russian pollsters the Levada Heart performed a survey of Russian attitudes towards the warfare in Ukraine. When requested whether or not they supported the Russian army’s actions in Ukraine, 73 per cent of respondents mentioned “sure” or “positively sure”. In February 2022, the month of Russia’s invasion, that quantity was 68 per cent.

Some could be skeptical of polls popping out of Russia, but it surely ought to be famous these figures are from an organisation that has been deemed a “international agent” by the Russian authorities. It doesn’t matter who does the polling – the information suggests a majority of Russians assist the warfare effort.

On the identical time, Putin’s private approval score has remained excessive, operating at round 80 per cent for a while, in keeping with Levada. A newer ballot by Russia’s Public Opinion Basis signifies round 78 per cent of Russians approve of Putin’s work.

Nevertheless, there was a drop in assist for each the warfare and Putin in late 2022. Within the fall of 2022, the Russian authorities launched a significant mobilisation of reservists for the armed forces in response to Ukrainian battlefield successes, first close to Kyiv after which Kharkhiv. This led to many younger males leaving the nation to keep away from being drafted into the army.

Russian forces additionally pulled again from their foothold on the western financial institution of the Dnipro River at Kherson. Unease with the scenario amongst Russians was mirrored in polling numbers throughout that interval, and was tangible on the bottom after I visited Moscow and Murmansk in October 2022.

The Russian authorities’s zero tolerance for public opposition to the warfare or Putin undoubtedly has some bearing on improved polling. Russia’s defeat of Ukraine’s summer season counteroffensive additionally actually boosted Russian confidence. Moreover, the variety of Russian troopers killed in Ukraine stays a carefully guarded secret.

Nevertheless, as I discovered throughout time spent in each Moscow and Ryazan in November, many older Russians particularly – from completely different walks of life – categorical real assist for each the warfare and their president. Why?

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