China insists it isn’t constructing a naval base in Cambodia. Cambodia says the identical.

However this plane carrier-ready pier suggests in any other case.

As does this monumental drydock.

Perched close to a significant sea route, they seem tailored to advance China’s naval ambitions.

In 2020, one thing curious occurred at Cambodia’s Ream navy base, on the Gulf of Thailand.

Not lengthy after submitting — after which abruptly withdrawing — a request for the U.S. Protection Division to refurbish components of the bottom, Cambodian officers proceeded to demolish the American-funded buildings that had been already there, some solely 4 years outdated.

Then the Chinese language started working.

Since December, two Chinese language warships have docked almost day-after-day on the quickly increasing port. And the work going down at Ream is in step with a Chinese language constructing spree that ranges from close to the Crimson Sea to the South China Sea.

The Chinese language navy presence close to one of many world’s most important sea lanes raises elementary questions on Beijing’s ambitions. Whereas the American constellation of navy bases stays by far the most important on the planet, a resurgent China is bringing nations like Cambodia into its orbit.

“The potential for a everlasting Chinese language navy presence in Cambodia raises vital geopolitical issues,” mentioned Sophal Ear, a Cambodian-American political scientist on the Thunderbird College of International Administration at Arizona State College. “It might immediate strategic changes from the U.S. and heighten international perceptions of Chinese language militarization.”

Cambodian and Chinese language flags at joint navy drills in Cambodia final month.

Agence France-Presse — Getty Pictures


The Lengthy Go to

On Dec. 3, 2023, Cambodia’s protection minister introduced that two Chinese language Navy corvettes had been visiting Ream for a joint navy train. Satellite tv for pc pictures present that the warships had arrived two days earlier. They’ve stayed within the neighborhood ever since.

The corvettes are the one ships which have docked on the new Chinese language-built pier at Ream, which might accommodate ships far bigger than any in Cambodia’s fleet. Cambodia’s personal smaller corvettes dock at a way more modest pier to the south.

Two Chinese language warships have docked at Ream for greater than seven months

Supply: Satellite tv for pc pictures by Planet Labs

Over the previous few years, American officers and Japanese naval vessels have additionally tried to go to Ream. They had been denied full entry.

“We’re clear eyed concerning the Individuals’s Republic of China’s efforts to determine abroad navy bases, together with at Ream,” mentioned John Supple, a Pentagon spokesman. “We’re significantly involved concerning the Individuals’s Republic of China’s lack of transparency round its intentions and the phrases it negotiates, as a result of nations needs to be free to make sovereign selections that assist their pursuits and regional safety.”

The Cambodians deny any larger Chinese language intent.

When Lloyd J. Austin III, the U.S. secretary of protection, traveled to Cambodia in early June, he was informed by his counterparts there that China was merely serving to Cambodia modernize its navy, not constructing a base for itself.

“The Ream navy base is Cambodia’s, not the navy base of any nation,” Mey Dina, the commander of the bottom, informed The New York Occasions. “It isn’t proper to say that the bottom is managed by China.”

Whereas the development at Ream remains to be underway, no overseas vessels might be allowed to dock there, Mr. Mey Dina mentioned. The overseas vessels which were docked there for greater than half a yr — the Chinese language corvettes — had been for “coaching solely,” he mentioned.


Energy Projection

China’s chief, Xi Jinping, has articulated a grand imaginative and prescient for his rising superpower. Chief amongst his navy objectives: a blue-water navy that may challenge Beijing’s may removed from China’s shores.

At this time, China boasts the world’s largest navy when it comes to the variety of vessels. And it has added plane carriers to its fleet.

However navies of this dimension and scope, working 1000’s of miles from house, want entry to bases overseas.

In 2017, after years of evasiveness about what was being constructed, China accomplished its first base on overseas soil, in Djibouti, within the Horn of Africa.

The pier at Ream seems much like one at China’s Djibouti Naval Base

Sources: BlackSky; Heart for Strategic and Worldwide Research (C.S.I.S.); satellite tv for pc pictures by Planet Labs on Might 27 and Might 8, 2024.

That very same yr, China put ending touches on a much more startling challenge in disputed waters within the South China Sea.

Churning up coral and sand from the ocean flooring, state-owned dredgers created navy installations on what had as soon as been placid atolls known as the Spratlys. A world tribunal has dominated that these specks of land will not be Chinese language territory.

The identical form of state-owned dredgers at the moment are working in Ream. Out of reclaimed land, they’ve created a wharf and dry dock, every of which far surpasses the wants of the Cambodian fleet.

Nonetheless, in contrast to the installations on the Spratlys, Ream doesn’t seem to have constructing websites reserved for missile launchers or fighter jet hangars. Ream could also be primarily supposed as a resupply station for the Chinese language navy, based on satellite tv for pc analysts.

China’s navy footprint overseas is small however rising

Sources: C.S.I.S.; Congressional Analysis Service; satellite tv for pc pictures by Planet Labs.

Be aware: Completion yr primarily based on first report of personnel deployment or coaching train.

“Ream is extra like China taking part in roulette because it appears for ports for the blue water navy that Xi Jinping desires,” mentioned Gregory B. Poling, director of the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative on the Heart for Strategic and Worldwide Research. “I don’t suppose any Chinese language planner checked out all of the attainable places all over the world and mentioned, ‘Ream is the one we’d like.’ It’s extra that Ream is without doubt one of the solely ones on provide as a result of China has no actual allies and few buddies.”


Business Beachheads

Even because the dredgers had been working time beyond regulation on the Spratlys, Mr. Xi stood on the White Home and swatted away fears that China’s new islands — which now bristle with fighter jet-ready runways, radar domes and warehouses made for missiles — had been for navy functions. Chinese language officers mentioned they’d be havens for tourism.

China’s base constructing has trusted state-owned corporations, that are legally obligated to pursue the nation’s nationwide safety pursuits, to make the preliminary forays. Chinese language officers are blunt concerning the technique: “First civilian, then navy,” is how they put it.

China has expanded its industrial affect the world over’s seas

Supply: AidData

Be aware: Knowledge exhibits ports partially or totally financed by Chinese language state-owned corporations through loans and grants made in 2000–2021 for implementation 2000–2023. Map exhibits solely tasks over $10 Million.

Establishing a industrial beachhead is simpler in nations the place China already holds financial sway.

Lately, Cambodia has steadily marched into China’s arms. Its longtime chief, Hun Sen, used to excoriate the USA for linking its help and funding to enhancements within the nation’s human rights document.

Now, Cambodia is led by Mr. Hun Sen’s son, Hun Manet, who, though a graduate of the USA Navy Academy, has proven little inclination thus far to recalibrate from his father’s pro-China bent.

Ream is 80 % completed, based on its commander, Mr. Mey Dina. Navy analysts anticipate that the bottom might be full by the tip of the yr.

Not distant, a Chinese language firm has carved out of once-protected jungle a runway lengthy sufficient to accommodate bombers, which Cambodia doesn’t have. The corporate says the airfield is basically supposed for Chinese language holiday-goers.

That’s harking back to the harmless explanations provided for the Chinese language development within the Spratlys and Djibouti, mentioned Mr. Ear, the political scientist.

“China downplays or misrepresents the navy nature of its abroad installations,” he mentioned. “Regardless of Cambodia’s denials, the shortage of transparency and the shut relationship between Cambodia and China recommend the likelihood that Ream might observe this acquainted playbook.”

Chinese language and Cambodian sailors stand guard on deck of a Chinese language navy ship.

Agence France-Presse — Getty Pictures


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