Over the summer season, earlier than Joe Biden dropped out of the race, it actually seemed like Virginia might go crimson for the primary time in 20 years.
Now, after the switcheroo to put in Kamala Harris because the Democrat nominee, and after the get together conventions, it’s starting to seem like a horse race in Virginia as soon as once more.
The Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin deserves a few of the credit score for this.
The race is just about a useless warmth at this level, that means Trump might positively pull out a win there.
PJ Media studies:
Kamala Ought to Panic as One other Ballot Exhibits a Blue State Statistically Tied
Virginia, a state that has reliably voted blue since 2004, was thought-about a possible Trump pickup earlier than Joe Biden exited the race. Typical knowledge steered that with Harris on the high of the ticket, Virginia was now not in play. Nevertheless, these polls steered that the state was nonetheless aggressive. Nevertheless, a subsequent Washington Submit ballot gave Harris an eight-point lead within the state, seemingly placing to mattress the concept Trump has an opportunity at successful Virginia.
That result’s now wanting extra like an outlier. In accordance with a brand new ballot from the College of Mary Washington, the election in Virginia is statistically tied.
“Vice President Kamala Harris (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) are locked in a decent presidential contest in Virginia, in accordance with a brand new statewide survey from the Heart for Management and Media Research on the College of Mary Washington,” the varsity mentioned in a press launch.
Harris holds 47% assist in comparison with 46% for Trump in a latest survey of 1,000 adults, which Analysis America Inc. performed from Sept. 3-9 for UMW’s Heart for Management and Media Research.
See the breakdown under:
VIRGINIA ballot by College of Mary Washington
2-WAY
Harris: 48%
Trump: 46%
—
FULL FIELD
Harris: 47%
Trump: 46%
RFK Jr: 2%
Different: 2%
——
Senate
Tim Kaine (inc): 49%
Hung Cao: 43%
Different: 2%
—
Sept. 3-9 | 756 LV | ±3.7%https://t.co/1cseQv3DYe— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 20, 2024
Virginia might be an necessary state to observe early on election night time. If it goes for Trump, it might be indicative of an enormous Trump win.