First, there’s a hanging double normal within the methods politicians are allowed to speak about completely different areas of America. Voters from rural states typically complain about not getting sufficient respect, however are you able to think about the response if, say, the Senate majority chief, Chuck Schumer, a New York Democrat, had been to explain Alabama — which in 2021 had an awfully excessive price of firearm mortality — as a spot the place everybody runs round taking pictures each other and themselves?
Second, and extra vital, I’m at all times struck by the extent to which at present’s right-wing politics is pushed by a grim, dystopian picture of America, particularly American cities, that simply isn’t grounded in actuality.
A whole lot of this appears to replicate perceptions that congealed way back and haven’t been up to date to replicate the methods wherein city America has modified for the higher. New York actually was a harmful place just a few many years again: There have been 2,262 murders in 1990. Final yr, nonetheless, with the pandemic-era bump in crime quickly receding, there have been solely 391 — nonetheless too many — and early indications are that violent crime is continuous to fall.
Nationally, violent crime, at the least in line with the F.B.I., is approaching a 50-year low.
These are official statistics, however what about private expertise? I bear in mind New York within the dangerous previous days, and it’s nothing like that now. Polling on crime is exceptional, particularly when damaged down by partisan affiliation: In response to Gallup, 78 p.c of Republicans say that crime is a particularly or very major problem for the nation, however solely 16 p.c say it’s a major problem the place they stay. That’s not as a result of Republicans stay in safer locations: Solely 15 p.c of Democrats say that native crime is a major problem.
Crime isn’t the one topic the place Republicans appear to be residing prior to now. In one other current speech, Trump declared: “We’re like a 3rd world nation. Have a look at our airports. … I imply, how dangerous are the airports?” He might have been considering of La Guardia within the Seventies. I lately landed at Newark’s new Terminal A, and it was a hanging reminder of simply how gentrified America’s main airports have grow to be.
